Question #43890

Hello - have I calculated the following correctly? Comments appreciated

Using a normal dice, rolled 5 times, the probability of rolling 2 sixes would be 1.61%

i.e 1/6 x 1/6 x 5/6 x 5/6 x 5/6 =125/7776

Using a normal dice, rolled 5 times, the probability of not rolling a six at all would be 40.19%

i.e 5/6 x 5/6 x 5/6 x 5/6 x 5/6 = 3125/7776
1

Expert's answer

2014-07-04T04:20:18-0400

Answer on Question #43890-Math-Statistics and Probability

Using a normal dice, rolled 5 times, the probability of rolling 2 sixes would be 1.61%

i.e 1/6×1/6×5/6×5/6×5/6=125/77761/6 \times 1/6 \times 5/6 \times 5/6 \times 5/6 = 125/7776

Using a normal dice, rolled 5 times, the probability of not rolling a six at all would be 40.19%

i.e 5/6×5/6×5/6×5/6×5/6=3125/77765/6 \times 5/6 \times 5/6 \times 5/6 \times 5/6 = 3125/7776

Solution

Let's use Bernoulli distribution.

Using a normal dice, rolled 5 times, the probability of rolling 2 sixes would be


P(2 sixes)=5!(52)!2!(16)2(56)52=5!3!2!5365=101257776=0.1607=16.07%,P(2 \text{ sixes}) = \frac{5!}{(5 - 2)! \cdot 2!} \left(\frac{1}{6}\right)^2 \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^{5 - 2} = \frac{5!}{3! \cdot 2!} \cdot \frac{5^3}{6^5} = 10 \cdot \frac{125}{7776} = 0.1607 = 16.07\%,


where n!=123nn! = 1 \cdot 2 \cdot 3 \cdot \ldots \cdot n, 16\frac{1}{6} is the probability of rolling sixe rolled 1 time, 56\frac{5}{6} is the probability of not-rolling sixe rolled 1 time.

Using a normal dice, rolled 5 times, the probability of not rolling a six at all would be


P(not rolling a six)=5!(50)!0!(16)0(56)50=5!5!0!(56)5=131257776=0.4019=40.19%.P(\text{not rolling a six}) = \frac{5!}{(5 - 0)! \cdot 0!} \left(\frac{1}{6}\right)^0 \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^{5 - 0} = \frac{5!}{5! \cdot 0!} \cdot \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^5 = 1 \cdot \frac{3125}{7776} = 0.4019 = 40.19\%.


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