Solution:
Let we flip coin 4 times. First we need to find probability of 0-head, 1-head, 2-head, 3-head and 4-head.
Number of possible outcomes: N=2n; here n - number of flips.
Number of ways: nCm=(n−m)!m!n!; here m - number of heads. So,
4C0=(4−0)!0!4!=1;
4C1=(4−1)!1!4!=4;
4C2=(4−2)!2!4!=6;
4C3=(4−3)!3!4!=4;
4C4=(4−4)!4!4!=1;
N=24=16;
P(0)=161=0.0625 - probability of 0 head;
P(1)=164=0.25 - probability of 1 head;
P(2)=166=0.375 - probability of 2 heads;
P(3)=164=0.25 - probability of 3 heads;
P(4)=161=0.0625 - probability of 4 heads.
a) Fewer than 4 heads:
P(m<4)=P(0)+P(1)+P(2)+P(3)=0.0625+0.25+0.375+0.25=0.9375;
b) Exactly 4 heads:
P(m=4)=P(4)=0.0625;
c) Not more than 4 heads:
P(m<=4)=P(0)+P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)=0.0625+0.25+0.375+0.25+0.0625=1;
d) Two or more heads:
P(m>=2)=P(2)+P(3)+P(4)=0.375+0.25+0.0625=0.6875.
Answer:
a) P(m<4)=93.75%;
b) P(m=4)=6.25%;
c) P(m<=4)=100%;
d) P(m>=2)=68.75%;
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