Question #341145

A scientist inoculates several mice, one at a time, with a disease germ until he finds 3 mice that have attacked by the disease. If the probability of getting attack of the disease is 1/5, what is the probability that 10 mice are required


1
Expert's answer
2022-05-17T15:22:30-0400

Apply the Negative Binomial distribution.

Let n=10n=10 be the sample size of the sample until we get r=3r=3 successes. The probability of contracting the disease is p=1/5.p=1/5.. The form of the Negative Binomial distribution we apply is given as,


p(X=n)=(n1r1)pr(1p)nrp(X=n)=\binom{n-1}{r-1}p^r(1-p)^{n-r}

.Therefore,


p(X=10)=(10131)(15)3(115)103p(X=10)=\binom{10-1}{3-1}(\dfrac{1}{5})^3(1-\dfrac{1}{5})^{10-3}

=36(0.008)(0.2097152)=0.0603979776=36(0.008)(0.2097152)=0.0603979776



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