Marketing estimates that a new instrument for the analysis of soil samples will be very successful, moderately successful, or unsuccessful, which is probabilities 0.3, 0.6, and 0.1, respectively. The yearly revenue associated with a very successful, moderately successful, or unsuccessful is $10 million, $5 million, and $1 million, respectively. Let the random variable X denote the yearly revenue of the product. Determine:
a) the mass function of X;
b) the mean of X; and
c) the variance of X.
Solution
Let X denote the yearly revenue of the product.
(a) The mass function of X
The probability mass function of X is as shown in the diagram below.
(b) The mean of X
Mean "\\mu=\\sum XP(X)"
"\\mu=10(0.3)+5(0.6)+1(0.1)"
"\\mu=6.1"
(c) The variance of X
"\\sigma^2=\\sum X^2.P(X)-\\mu"
"\\sigma^2=[10^2(0.3)+5^2(0.6)+1^2(0.1)]-6.1^2"
"\\sigma^2=45.1-37.21"
"\\sigma^2=7.89"
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