Question #308721

Let 𝐴 and 𝐡 be two events. Suppose that the probability that neither event occurs is 3


8. What is the probability that at least one of the events occurs?



Let 𝐢 and 𝐷 be two events. Suppose 𝑃(𝐢) = 0.5, 𝑃(𝐢 ∩ 𝐷) = 0.2 and 𝑃((𝐢 βˆͺ 𝐷)β€²) = 0.4. What


is 𝑃(𝐷)?


Expert's answer

1)    The event that at least one of A and B occurs is opposite to the event that neither of A and B occurs, hence its probability is

P=1βˆ’38=58P=1-\frac{3}{8}=\frac{5}{8}

2)    We have

P((CβˆͺD)β€²)=0.4β‡’P(CβˆͺD)=1βˆ’0.4=0.6P\left( \left( C\cup D \right) ' \right) =0.4\Rightarrow P\left( C\cup D \right) =1-0.4=0.6

By the inclusion-exclusion formula

P(CβˆͺD)=P(C)+P(D)βˆ’P(C∩D)β‡’β‡’P(D)=P(CβˆͺD)+P(C∩D)βˆ’P(C)=0.6+0.2βˆ’0.5=0.3P\left( C\cup D \right) =P\left( C \right) +P\left( D \right) -P\left( C\cap D \right) \Rightarrow \\\Rightarrow P\left( D \right) =P\left( C\cup D \right) +P\left( C\cap D \right) -P\left( C \right) =0.6+0.2-0.5=0.3


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