Question #28757

A hundred squash balls are tested by dropping from a height of 100 inches and measuring the height of the bounce. A ball is “fast” if it rises above 32 inches. The average height of bounce was 30 inches and the standard deviation was ¾ inches. What is the chance of getting a “fast” standard ball?

Expert's answer

1. A hundred squash balls are tested by dropping from a height of 100 inches and measuring the height of the bounce. A ball is "fast" if it rises above 32 inches. The average height of bounce was 30 inches and the standard deviation was 34\frac{3}{4} inches. What is the chance of getting a "fast" standard ball?

Solution.

Using the Central Limit Theorem we can conclude that if Sn=i=1nXiS_{n} = \sum_{i=1}^{n} X_{i}, then SnμnσnN(0,1)\frac{S_{n - \mu n}}{\sigma \sqrt{n}} \sim N(0,1), where XiX_{i} - random variable means the height of the bounce with E[Xi]=30E[X_{i}] = 30 and σ[Xi]=0.75\sigma[X_{i}] = 0.75. This is equivalent to XN(μ,σ2)X \sim N(\mu, \sigma^{2}), because Sn=i=1nXiN(μn,σ2n)S_{n} = \sum_{i=1}^{n} X_{i} \sim N(\mu n, \sigma^{2} n). So P(X>32)=P(Xσ[X]E[X]>32)P(X > 32) = P(X^{*}\sigma[X] - E[X] > 32), where X=XE[X]σ[X]N(0,1)X^{*} = \frac{X - E[X]}{\sigma[X]} \sim N(0,1).

P(X>32)=P(X0.7530>32)=P(X>2.6)=1P(X<2.66)=1Φ(2.66)=10.9961=0.0039P(X > 32) = P(X^{*} * 0.75 - 30 > 32) = P(X^{*} > 2.6) = 1 - P(X^{*} < 2.66) = 1 - \Phi(2.66) = 1 - 0.9961 = 0.0039 where Φ(a)\Phi(a) - function of standard normal distribution.

Answer: 0.0039

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