We have E=1860, σ=68E=1860,\ \sigma=68E=1860, σ=68 . Use Laplace function:
P(a<X<b)=Φ(b−Eσ)−Φ(a−Eσ)P(a<X<b)=\Phi(\frac{b-E}{\sigma})-\Phi(\frac{a-E}{\sigma})P(a<X<b)=Φ(σb−E)−Φ(σa−E)
Substitute a=1780, b=1920a=1780,\ b=1920a=1780, b=1920 and MMM and σ\sigmaσ:
P=Φ(1920−186068)−Φ(1780−186068)≈0.6906P=\Phi(\frac{1920-1860}{68})-\Phi(\frac{1780-1860}{68})\approx 0.6906P=Φ(681920−1860)−Φ(681780−1860)≈0.6906
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