Question #23926

if 16 dates are named at random, What is the probability that 3 of them will be Sundays?

Expert's answer

Answer on Question #23926 – Math – Statistics and Probability

Question

If 16 dates are named at random, what is the probability that 3 of them will be Sundays?

Solution

The problem is not well posed, because we are not informed about the set of days: month, year or decade, from which we take days. Suppose we take 16 days from a month that consists of 31 days including 4 Sundays. There are (3116)\binom{31}{16} ways to select 16 days and we must choose 3 Sundays out of 4 and 163=1316-3=13 days from the rest 314=2731-4=27 days, which are not Sundays.

Thus, by the classical definition of probability, the probability that 3 of them will be Sundays equals


(43)(2713)(3116)=4!3!(43)!27!13!(2713)!31!16!(3116)!=4!3!1!27!13!14!31!16!15!=4!3!1!27!31!16!15!13!14!=\frac {\binom {4} {3} \cdot \binom {27} {13}}{\binom {31} {16}} = \frac {\frac {4 !}{3 ! (4 - 3) !} \cdot \frac {27 !}{13 ! (27 - 13) !}}{\frac {31 !}{16 ! (31 - 16) !}} = \frac {\frac {4 !}{3 ! \cdot 1 !} \cdot \frac {27 !}{13 ! \cdot 14 !}}{\frac {31 !}{16 ! \cdot 15 !}} = \frac {4 !}{3 ! \cdot 1 !} \cdot \frac {27 !}{31 !} \cdot \frac {16 ! \cdot 15 !}{13 ! \cdot 14 !} ==43!27!16151413!1514!3!1!3130292827!13!14!=41615141531302928== \frac {4 \cdot 3 ! \cdot 27 ! \cdot 16 \cdot 15 \cdot 14 \cdot 13 ! \cdot 15 \cdot 14 !}{3 ! \cdot 1 ! \cdot 31 \cdot 30 \cdot 29 \cdot 28 \cdot 27 ! \cdot 13 ! \cdot 14 !} = \frac {4 \cdot 16 \cdot 15 \cdot 14 \cdot 15}{31 \cdot 30 \cdot 29 \cdot 28} ==201600755160=2016075516=1008037758=0.26696.= \frac {201600}{755160} = \frac {20160}{75516} = \frac {10080}{37758} = 0.26696.


Answer: 0.26696.

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