Consider the following events:
D: withdraw k5000 will not be successful,
ZE: a service from Zanaco Express,
A: a service from Airtel,
MTN: a service from MTN,
ZMM: a service from zamtel mobile money.
i) By the Law of Total Probability
"P(D)=P(ZE)P(D|ZE)+P(A)P(D|A)"
"+P(MTN)P(D|MTN)+P(ZMM)P(D|ZMM)"
"=0.3(1-0.4)+0.4(1-0.5)+0.2(1-0.3)"
"+0.1(1-0.2)=0.6"
ii)
iii)
iv) By Bayes' Theorem
"=\\dfrac{(1-0.2)(0.1)}{0.6}=\\dfrac{2}{15}\\approx0.1333"
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