Before an increase in excise duty on tea , 400 people out of sample of 500 were found to be tea drinkers. After an increase in duty, 400 people were tea drinkers in a sample of 600 people. Using standard error of proportion , state whether there is significant decrease in consumption of tea at 5% level of significance. Take value of Z at 5% level of significance as 1.645.
Before increasing excise duty-
"n_1=100, x_1=800"
After excise duty-
"n_2=1200,x_2=800"
Sample proportion of taking coffee before increasing excise duty-
"=p_1=\\dfrac{x_1}{n_1}=\\dfrac{800}{1000}=0.8"
Sample proportion of taking coffee after increasing excise duty-
"=p_2=\\dfrac{x_2}{n_2}=\\dfrac{800}{1200}=0.67"
Let
Null hypothesis:"H_o:p_1=p_2=p" i.e. there is no significant difference in the consumption of coeefe before and after the increase in excise duty.
Alternate Hypothesis:"H_1=P_1>P_2" i.e. there is significant difference in the consumption of coeefe before and after the increase in excise duty.
Test statistics is-
"Z=\\dfrac{p_1-p_2}{\\sqrt{\\hat{p}(1-\\hat{p})(\\dfrac{1}{n_1}+\\dfrac{1}{n_2})}}"
Where,"\\hat{p}=\\dfrac{n_1p_1+n_2p_2}{n_1+n_2}=\\dfrac{x_1+x_2}{n_1+n_2}=\\dfrac{800+800}{1000+1200}=\\dfrac{1600}{2200}=0.73"
so , "Z=\\dfrac{0.8-0.67}{\\sqrt{0.73\\times 0.23(\\dfrac{1}{1000}+\\dfrac{1}{1200}})}=\\dfrac{0.13}{\\sqrt{0.0031}}=7.22"
Tabulated value of z at 5% level of significance for right tailed test is "1.645 i.e. Z_{0.05}=1.645"
Conclusion: Since Calculated value of Z is greater than the tabulated value of Z, It is significant and "H_o" is rejected i.e.There has been a significant decrease in the consumption of coeffe.
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