Question #209978

A machine fills boxes with chocolate balls. The weights of the empty boxes are normally

distributed with a mean of 150 g and a standard deviation of 10 g. The mean weight of each

chocolate ball is 40 g with a standard deviation of 0.8 g. A full box contains 25 chocolate balls.


Expert's answer

Let XXand YY be independent random variables that are normally distributed (and therefore also jointly so), then their sum is also normally distributed. i.e., if

XN(μX,σX2),YN(μY,σY2),X\sim N(\mu_X, \sigma_X^2), Y\sim N(\mu_Y, \sigma_Y^2),

W=X+Y,W=X+Y,

Then WN(μX+μY,σX2+σY2).W\sim N(\mu_X+\mu_Y, \sigma_X^2+\sigma_Y^2).

a. Let X=X= the weight of the empty box, Y1,Y2,...Y25Y_1, Y_2, ...Y_{25} represent the weights of chocolate balls, W=X+Y1+Y2+...+Y25W=X+Y_1+Y_2+...+Y_{25} represents the weight of of a full box of chocolate balls.

Given XN(μX,σX2),μX=150 g,σX=10 gX\sim N(\mu_X, \sigma_X^2), \mu_X=150\ g, \sigma_X=10\ g


YiN(μYi,σYi2),μYi=40 g,σYi=0.8 g,i=1,2,...,25Y_i\sim N(\mu_{Y_i}, \sigma_{Y_i}^2), \mu_{Y_i}=40\ g, \sigma_{Y_i}=0.8\ g, i=1,2,...,25

Then

WN(μW,σW2))W\sim N(\mu_W, \sigma_W^2))

The mean weight of a full box of chocolate balls is


μW=μX+μY1+μY2+...+μY25\mu_W=\mu_X+\mu_{Y_1}+\mu_{Y_2}+...+\mu_{Y_{25}}

=150+25(40)=1150(g)=150+25(40)=1150 (g)

b.

The standard deviation of the weight of a full box of chocolate balls is


σW=σW2\sigma_W=\sqrt{\sigma_W^2}

=σX2+σY12+σY22+...++σY252=\sqrt{\sigma_X^2+\sigma_{Y_1}^2+\sigma_{Y_2}^2+...++\sigma_{Y_{25}}^2}

=102+25(0.8)2=22910.77033=\sqrt{10^2+25(0.8)^2}=2\sqrt{29}\approx10.77033

c.


P(W<1140)=P(Z<11401150229)P(W<1140)=P(Z<\dfrac{1140-1150}{2\sqrt{29}})

(Z<0.9284767)0.17658\approx(Z<-0.9284767)\approx0.17658

d. Let VV =the weight of the box of chocolate squares: VN(μV,σV2).V\sim N(\mu_V, \sigma_V^2).


P(V<800)=P(Z<800μVσV)=0.19P(V<800)=P(Z<\dfrac{800-\mu_V}{\sigma_V})=0.19

800μVσV0.877896\dfrac{800-\mu_V}{\sigma_V}\approx-0.877896


P(V>1200)=1P(Z1200μVσV)=0.28P(V>1200)=1-P(Z\leq\dfrac{1200-\mu_V}{\sigma_V})=0.28

1200μVσV0.582842\dfrac{1200-\mu_V}{\sigma_V}\approx0.582842


μV=800+0.877896σV\mu_V=800+0.877896\sigma_V

12008000.8777896σV=0.582842σV1200-800-0.8777896\sigma_V=0.582842\sigma_V

σV273.8541 g\sigma_V\approx273.8541\ g


μV1040.4138 g\mu_V\approx1040.4138\ g


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