The probability that a vehicle entering the Luray Caverns has Canadian
license plates is 0.12; the probability that it is a camper is 0.28; and the
probability that it is a camper with Canadian license plates is 0.09. What is
the probability that
(i) A camper entering the Luray Caverns has Canadian license Plates.
(ii) A vehicle with Canadian license plates entering the Luray Caverns is a
camper.
(iii) A vehicle entering the Luray Caverns does not have Canadian plates or
is not a camper.
Probability that a vehicle entering the Luray Caverns has Canadian license plates is 0.12
Probability that a vehicle entering the Luray Caverns is a camper is 0.28.
Probability that it is a camper with Canadian license plates is 0.09
Let A be an event which denotes that a vehicle entering the Luray Caverns has Canadian license plates. Then,
P(A)=0.12
Let A' be an event which denotes that a vehicle entering the Luray Caverns does not have Canadian license plates.
Let B be an event which denotes that a vehicle entering the Luray Caverns is a Camper. Then,
P(B)=0.28
Let B' be an event which denotes that a vehicle entering the Luray Caverns is not a Camper
Probability that it is a camper with Canadian license plates can be written as: P(A and B) = 0.09
i) To find the probability that a camper entering the Luray Caverns has Canadian license plates:
Conditional probability formula:
"P(A | B)= \\frac{P(A \\;and \\;B)}{P(B)} \\\\\n\n= \\frac{0.09}{0.28} \\\\\n\n=0.32143"
Therefore, probability that a camper entering the Luray Caverns has Canadian license plates is 0.32
ii) To find the probability that a vehicle with Canadian license plates entering the Luray Caverns is a camper:
"P(B | A)= \\frac{P(B \\;and \\;A)}{P(A)} \\\\\n\n= \\frac{P(A \\;and\\; B)}{P(A)} \\\\\n\n= \\frac{0.09}{0.12} \\\\\n\n=0.75"
Therefore, probability that a vehicle with Canadian license plates entering the Luray Caverns is a camper is 0.75
iii) To find the probability that a vehicle entering the Luray Caverns does not have Canadian plates or is not a camper:
Required probability is: P(A' OR B')
P(A' OR B')=1−P(A and B)
=1−0.09
=0.91
Therefore, probability that a vehicle entering the Luray Caverns does not have Canadian plates or is not a camper is 0.91
Comments
Leave a comment