Question #20061

A customer service manager of State Electric Co. monitors operators taking orders by phone. The average time for a phone call, in seconds, is used as one summary of the activity for the shift. The average times, for 15 persons, are

195 223 220 237 271 239 285 262
226 269 179 214 186 208 189

a. Stating any assumption(s) you make, obtain 95% confidence interval for the population mean.

b. Test H_o: μ=207 versus H_1: μ ≠207 with α=0.05. What assumption(s) must you make to carry out this test? Determine the p-value and comment on its size.

Expert's answer

Conditions

A customer service manager of State Electric Co. monitors operators taking orders by phone. The average time for a phone call, in seconds, is used as one summary of the activity for the shift. The average times, for 15 persons, are



a. Stating any assumption(s) you make, obtain 95% confidence interval for the population mean.

b. Test H_o: μ=207 versus H_1: μ ≠ 207 with α=0.05. What assumption(s) must you make to carry out this test? Determine the p-value and comment on its size.

Solution

a. An assumption is that the time for a phone call of 220 seconds is a usual average time.

Let's calculate the mean, the standard deviation and find the value of a cumulative distribution function for 95% confidence level.


0.95=P(1.96Xˉμσn1.96)0.95 = P(-1.96 \leq \frac{\bar{X} - \mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}} \leq 1.96)


Where:

1.95 – the value of cumulative distribution function at a point p=0.95

Xˉ\bar{X} – sample mean

μ\mu – distribution mean

σ\sigma – standard deviation

nn – sample size.

The confidence interval is:


(Xˉ1.96σnμXˉ+1.96σn)=(226.86671.9633.3613715μ548+1.9633.3613715)\begin{array}{l} \left(\bar{X} - 1.96 \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \leq \mu \leq \bar{X} + 1.96 \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\right) \\ = \left(226.8667 - 1.96 \frac{33.36137}{\sqrt{15}} \leq \mu \leq 548 + 1.96 \frac{33.36137}{\sqrt{15}}\right) \end{array}209.9835μ243.7498209.9835 \leq \mu \leq 243.7498


As we see,


209.9835220243.7498209.9835 \leq 220 \leq 243.7498


b. μ=207\mu=207 is out of this interval, so H0 is rejected, Ha – approved.

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