Question #191671

A politician wants to know his chances of winning in the next election. He has tasked a researcher to interview a random sample of his contituents about their perceptions of his leadership. Previous polls have revealed that approximately 62.5% are in favor of his leadership. The politician has adopted the 90% confidence level and of the population value by at most 0.02. How many respondents must be interviewed?


1
Expert's answer
2021-05-13T11:56:33-0400

p=62.5%=0.625p\:=62.5\%=\:0.625

Marginoferror,E=0.02Margin\:of\:error,E=0.02

Thecriticalvalueforthesignificancelevelα=0.1iszc=1.645,The\:critical\:value\:for\:the\:significance\:level\:\alpha \:=\:0.1\:is\:z_c\:=\:1.645,

whichisobtainedbylookingintoastandardnormalprobabilitytable.which\:is\:obtained\:by\:looking\:into\:a\:standard\:normal\:probability\:table.

Samplesize,np(1p)(ZcE)2Sample size, n​\:\:\ge ​\:\:p\left(1−p\right)\left(\:\frac{Zc}{E}\:​\:\right)^2

=0.625(10.625)(1.6450.02)2=0.625\left(1−0.625\right)\left(\:\frac{1.645}{0.02}\:​\:\right)^2\:

=1585.281586=1585.28\:\approx 1586

Requiredsamplesize,n=1586Required\:sample\:size,\:n=1586


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