1. (6 marks) A random variable, X, measures a European football team’s net goal differ ence (goals scored minus goals conceded) for matches in a semi-professional league. The values X =-1, 0, 1 indicate negative, null or positive goal difference, respectively. X is thought to follow the probability distribution below:
a. (2 marks) Complete the table below by computing the values of the probability mass function, P (x), and the cumulative distribution function, F (x).
b. (2 marks) Compute the expected value of X by writing an R function to do the calculation (show your R code).
"(a) P_{X}(x)=\\dfrac{(x_i+2)^2}{36}"
"F(X)=P(X\\le x)=\\int_{0}^x P(X)dx\n\\\\[9pt]\n =\\int_{0}^x \\dfrac{x+2)^2}{12}dx\n\\\\[9pt]\n\n\n =\\dfrac{(x+2)^3}{36}|_{0}^x\n\n =\\dfrac{(x+2)^3}{36}-\\dfrac{8}{36}\\\\[9pt]=\\dfrac{x^3+8+4x^2+8x-8}{36}\\\\[9pt]=\\dfrac{x^3+4x^2+8x}{36}"
(b) The expected value is found as
"E(X) = \u03a3XP(X = x).=\u03a3_{X}\\dfrac{(x+2)^2}{14} \\Rightarrow E(X) = 0.5714286 X"
The R function to calculate the above expected value below.
EX <- function ()
{
X <- c(-1,0,1)
PX <- (X+2)^2/14
EX <- sum(X*PX)
return(EX)
}
E <- EX()
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