Question #17199

The length of human pregnancies is bell-shaped with a mean of 265 days and a standard deviation of 10 days. Use the Empirical Rule to determine the percent of women whose pregnancies are between 255 and 275 days.

Expert's answer

Conditions

The length of human pregnancies is bell-shaped with a mean of 265 days and a standard deviation of 10 days. Use the Empirical Rule to determine the percent of women whose pregnancies are between 255 and 275 days.

Solution

In statistics, the 68-95-99.7 rule — or three-sigma rule, or empirical rule — states that for a normal distribution, nearly all values lie within 3 standard deviations of the mean.

About 68.27% of the values lie within 1 standard deviation of the mean. Similarly, about 95.45% of the values lie within 2 standard deviations of the mean. Nearly all (99.73%) of the values lie within 3 standard deviations of the mean.

In mathematical notation, these facts can be expressed as follows, where xx is an observation from a normally distributed random variable, μ\mu is the mean of the distribution, and σ\sigma is its standard deviation:


P(μσxμ+σ)0.6827P(\mu - \sigma \leq x \leq \mu + \sigma) \approx 0.6827P(μ2σxμ+2σ)0.9545P(\mu - 2\sigma \leq x \leq \mu + 2\sigma) \approx 0.9545P(μ3σxμ+3σ)0.9973P(\mu - 3\sigma \leq x \leq \mu + 3\sigma) \approx 0.9973


For our example


μ=265\mu = 265σ=10\sigma = 10P(255x275)=P(26510x265+10)=P(μσxμ+σ)=0.6827P(255 \leq x \leq 275) = P(265 - 10 \leq x \leq 265 + 10) = P(\mu - \sigma \leq x \leq \mu + \sigma) = 0.6827


**And the answer is:** The percent of women whose pregnancies are between 255 and 275 days is probably 68.27%

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