Question #125720

  1. The odds that a person A speaks the truth is 8:9 and the odds that person B speaks the truth is 5:7. In what percentage of cases are they likely to contradict each other on an identical point 

Expert's answer

P(A speaks the truth)= 88+9=817\frac{8}{8+9}= \frac{8}{17}

P(A speaks a lie)= 98+9=917\frac{9}{8+9}= \frac{9}{17}

P(B speaks the truth)= 55+7=512\frac{5}{5+7}= \frac{5}{12}

P(B speaks a lie)=75+7=712\frac{7}{5+7}= \frac{7}{12}

They will contradict each other when A tells the truth/ B tells a lie or A tells a lie /B tells the truth


P(contradict)=817712+917512\frac{8}{17}*\frac{7}{12} +\frac{9}{17}*\frac{5}{12}


=56204+45204\frac{56}{204}+\frac{45}{204}


=101204\frac{101}{204}

=0.495.

hence the percentage is 49.5%.


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