Question #119394
A package of 6 fuses are tested where the probability an individual fuse is defective is
0.05. (That is, 5% of all fuses manufactured are defective). What is the probability
that more than one fuse will be defective, given that at least one is defective?
1
Expert's answer
2020-06-08T19:50:34-0400

P(X>1X1)=P(X>1)P(X1)P(X1)P(X>1|X\ge1)=\frac {P(X>1) \bigcap P(X\ge 1)}{P(X\ge 1)}

=P(X>1)P(X1)\frac {P(X>1)}{P(X\ge 1)}

For a binomial probability,

P(X=x)=(nx)pxqnxP(X=x) ={n\choose x} *p^x *q^{n-x}

P(X>1)=i=26(6x)0.05x0.956x\sum_{i=2}^6{6\choose x} *0.05^x *0.95^{6-x}

=0.0328

P(X1)=i=16(6x)0.05x0.956xP(X\ge 1)=\sum_{i=1}^6{6\choose x} *0.05^x *0.95^{6-x}

=0.2649

Then

0.03280.2649\frac {0.0328}{0.2649}

=0.1238

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