Question #116626
What is the probability that a random sample of 70 pregnancies has a mean gestation period of 124 days or​ less?
1
Expert's answer
2020-05-18T19:16:14-0400

Suppose the lengths of the pregnancies of a certain animal are approximately normally distributed with mean μ=120\mu=120 days and standard deviation σ=10\sigma=10 days. 

What is the probability that a random sample of 70 pregnancies has a mean gestation period of 124 days or​ less?

Let Xˉ=\bar{X}= a mean gestation period: XˉN(μ,σ2/n).\bar{X}\sim N(\mu, \sigma^2/n). Then


Z=Xˉμσ/nN(0,1)Z={\bar{X}-\mu\over \sigma/\sqrt{n}}\sim N(0, 1)

Given that μ=120,σ=10,n=70.\mu=120, \sigma=10, n=70.


P(Xˉ124)=P(Z<12412010/70)P(\bar{X}\leq124)=P(Z<{124-120\over 10/\sqrt{70}})\approx

P(Z3.346640)0.999591\approx P(Z\leq3.346640)\approx0.999591


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