Answer to Question #115551 in Statistics and Probability for Albert

Question

A package of 6 fuses are tested where the probability an individual fuse is defective is
0.05. (That is, 5% of all fuses manufactured are defective).
(a) What is the probability one fuse will be defective?
(b) What is the probability at least one fuse will be defective?
(c) What is the probability that more than one fuse will be defective, given that at
least one is defective?

Answer 1

Let $X=$ the number of defective fuses: $X\sim B(n, p)$

$$P(X=x)=\binom{n}{x}p^x(1-p)^{n-x}$$

Given $n=6, p=0.05$

(a) What is the probability one fuse will be defective? 

$$P(X=1)=\binom{6}{1}(0.05)^x(1-0.05)^{6-1}\approx0.232134$$

(b) What is the probability at least one fuse will be defective? 

$$P(X\geq1)=1-P(X=0)=$$

$$=1-\binom{6}{0}(0.05)^0(1-0.05)^{6-0}\approx0.264908$$

(c) What is the probability that more than one fuse will be defective, given that at least one is defective?

$$P(X>1,X\geq1)=P(X>1)=P(X\geq1)-P(X=1)\approx$$

$$\approx0.264908-0.232134\approx0.032774$$

$$P(X>1|X\geq1)={P(X>1,X\geq1)\over P(X\geq1)}\approx$$

$$\approx{0.032774\over 0.264908}\approx0.1237$$