An investor has a certain amount of money available to invest now. Three alternative investments
are available. The estimated profit in Kwacha of each investment under each economic condition
are indicated in the following payoff table:
Event Investment Selection
A B C
Economy declines 500 -2000 -7000
No charge 1000 2000 -1000
Economy Expand 2000 5000 20,000
Based on his own past experience, the investor assigns the following probabilities to each
economic condition:
( ) ( ) ( ) Economy declines 0.30 No change 0.50 Economy expands 0.20
P
P
P
=
=
=
i.
Determine the optimal action based on the maximax criterion
ii.
Determine the optimal action based on the maximin criterion
iii.
Compute the expected monetary value (EMV) for each investment
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