Question

Agye will receive 20,000 British pounds one month from now as payment for apple juice, exports by his company. Agye is concerned about his exposure because he

believes that there are two possible scenarios: (1) the pound will depreciate by 3%

over the next month or (2) the pound will appreciate by 2% over the next month.

There is a 70% chance that Scenario 1 will occur. There is a 30% chance

that Scenario 2 will occur.

Agye notices the spot rate of the pound is GHS 8.1 and the one month

forward rate is GHS 8.6. Agye can purchase a put option over the counter

from a securities firm that has an exercise (strike) price of GHS 8.6, a premium of

GHS0.025, and an expiration date of one month from now. Determine the amount of

cedis received by the apple Company under each of the two exchange rate

scenarios if:

a) The receivables to be received in one month are not hedged.

b) A put option is used to hedge the receivables in one month.

c) A forward hedge is used to hedge the receivables in one month.

Answer 1

a)in this case, just the debtor will simply depend on the exchange rate of the pound sterling:

$20 000-20000\times0.03=19,400$

$19 400\times8.1=157140$

$19400\times8.6=166 840$

$20 000\times0.02+20 000=20 400$

$20 400\times8.1=165 240$

$20 400\times8.6=175 440$

b)

A put option is a contract for the right to sell an asset before a certain date in the future at a price and quantity determined at the current moment.

(1)$8.1-8.1\times0.03=7.857$

$7.857\times20 000=157140$

(2)$8.1+8.1\times0.2=8.262$

$8.262\times20 000=165 240$

c)A forward contract is not a standardized contract for the delivery of the underlying asset in the future at a predetermined price, not an exchange instrument.

(1)$8.6-8.1\times0.03=8.357$

$8.357\times20 000=167 140$

(2)$8.6+8.1\times0.2=8.762$

$8.762\times20 000=175 240$