Question #38788

2. In a factory turning out razor blade, there is a small chance of 1/500 for any blade to be defective. The blades are supplied in a packet of 10. Use Poisson distribution to calculate the approximate number of packets containing blades with no defective, one defective, two defectives and three defectives in a consignment of 10,000 packetsab
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Expert's answer

2014-02-04T02:22:11-0500

Answer on Question#38788 – Math - Probability

In a factory turning out razor blade, there is a small chance of 1/500 for any blade to be defective. The blades are supplied in a packet of 10. Use Poisson distribution to calculate the approximate number of packets containing blades with no defective, one defective, two defectives and three defectives in a consignment of 10,000 packets.

Solution:

The probability of a defect per blade is p=1500=0.002p = \frac{1}{500} = 0.002.

Poisson distribution:


Pλ(k)=λkk!eλP_{\lambda}(k) = \frac{\lambda^k}{k!} e^{-\lambda}


Where kk equals to number of defective blades in a packet and for a packet of 10, the mean number of defects λ=10p=0.02\lambda = 10p = 0.02.


k=0k = 0Pλ(0)=0.0200!e0.02=0.980199P_{\lambda}(0) = \frac{0.02^0}{0!} e^{-0.02} = 0.980199


So the approximate number of packets containing blades with no defective is 10000×0.980199=980210000 \times 0.980199 = 9802 k=1k = 1

Pλ(1)=0.0211!e0.02=0.019604P_{\lambda}(1) = \frac{0.02^1}{1!} e^{-0.02} = 0.019604


So the approximate number of packets containing blades with one defective is 10000×0.0196=19610000 \times 0.0196 = 196 k=2k = 2

Pλ(2)=0.0222!e0.02=0.000196P_{\lambda}(2) = \frac{0.02^2}{2!} e^{-0.02} = 0.000196


So the approximate number of packets containing blades with two defectives is 10000×0.000196=210000 \times 0.000196 = 2 k=3k = 3

Pλ(3)=0.0233!e0.02=0.000013P_{\lambda}(3) = \frac{0.02^3}{3!} e^{-0.02} = 0.000013


So the approximate number of packets containing blades with no defective is 10000×0.000013=010000 \times 0.000013 = 0

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