A research is being done on a particular species of bear on an animal reserve territory. Initially, there are 50 bears on the reserve. After t years the number of bears, n, satisfies the differential equation "dn" / "dt" = 1 / "20k" n(k-n), where k are constant.
a.) By using saperable viarable, show that the general solution of the differential equation is n = 200 / 1 +3e-0.05t given that k = 200 [14 marks]
b.) In 2012, the population of the bears in the territory are 200. Estimate the population of the bears that will be able to survive after 2022. [3 marks]
The given DE is;
"\\displaystyle\n\\frac{dn}{dt}=\\frac{n(k-n)}{20k}"
a] By separation of variables we have;
"\\displaystyle\n\\frac{1}{n(k-n)}\\frac{dn}{dt}=\\frac{1}{20k}\\\\"
Integrating both sides wrt t yields;
"\\displaystyle\n\\int \\frac{1}{n(k-n)}\\frac{dn}{dt}\\ dt=\\int\\frac{1}{20k}dt\\\\\n\\Rightarrow\\int\\frac{1}{n(k-n)}\\ dn=\\frac{1}{20k}\\int\\ dt\\\\\n\\Rightarrow\\int\\left(\\frac{1}{kn}+\\frac{1}{k(k-n)}\\right)\\ dn=\\frac{1}{20k}\\int\\ dt\\\\\n\\Rightarrow \\int\\frac{1}{kn}\\ dn+\\int\\frac{1}{k(k-n)}\\ dn=\\frac{1}{20k}\\int\\ dt\\\\\n\\Rightarrow\\frac{ln(n)}{k}-\\frac{\\ln(k-n)}{k}=\\frac{t}{20k}+c,\\ \\text{where c is an arbitrary constant}\\\\\n\\Rightarrow \\ln(n)-\\ln(k-n)=\\frac{t}{20}+ck,\\\\\n\\Rightarrow \\ln\\left(\\frac{n}{k-n}\\right)=0.05t+ck\\\\\n\\Rightarrow \\frac{n}{k-n}=c_1e^{0.05t},\\ \\text{where } c_1=e^{ck}\\\\\n\\Rightarrow ne^{-0.05t}=c_1(k-n)\\\\\n\\Rightarrow ne^{-0.05t}+nc_1=c_1k\\\\\n\\Rightarrow n=\\frac{c_1k}{c_1+e^{-0.05t}}=\\frac{200}{1+\\frac{1}{c_1}e^{-0.05t}}=\\frac{200}{1+c_2e^{-0.05t}},\\ \\text{where }c_2=\\frac{1}{c_1}\\text{ and }k=200\\\\"
Now, at "\\displaystyle\nt=0,\\ n=50" thus;
"\\displaystyle\n50=\\frac{200}{1+c_2}\\Rightarrow1+c_2=4\\Rightarrow c_2=3."
Thus, "\\displaystyle\nn=\\frac{200}{1+3e^{-0.05t}}"
b] Since the question says after 2022, then the population of bears that will be able to survive after 2022 is;
"\\displaystyle\nn(2023)=\\frac{200}{1+3e^{-0.05\\times 2023}}=200 \\text{ bears}"
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