n increase in the price of oil is an example of a negative supply shock. Use the AD-AS model graph to explain the effect of a negative supply shock on the price levels and output levels in the economy.
(Note: Five marks will be awarded for the graph and five marks will be awarded for the explanation.)
The diagram above demonstrates a negative supply shock; The initial position is at point A, producing output quantity Y1 at price level P1. The occurrence of a supply shock in this case an increase in the oil price has an adverse effect on aggregate supply: the supply curve shifts left (from AS1 to AS2), while the demand curve stays in the same position. The intersection of the supply and demand curves has now moved and the equilibrium is now point B; quantity has been reduced to Y2, while the price level has been increased to P2.
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