If consumption is C=100+0.75Yd
Taxes is T=50+0.5Y
Export is X=200
Import is M=50+0.25Y
Government spending is G=150
Investment is I=200
Usethemultiplierapplicabletoexport,toexplainhowa100–billiondeclineindemand
forexportcouldaffecttheeconomy’s:
(i)
Balanceofpayment
The goods market is in equilibrium when aggregate demand is equal to the real output. The aggregate demand is the sum of consumption, investment, government expenditure and net exports.
Y = AD
Y = C+I + G + NX
Y = 100 + 0.75(Y-T) +200 + 150 + (200-(50+0.25Y))
Y = 100 + 0.75(Y-(50 + 0.5Y)) + 350 + 200 -50 -0.25Y
Y = 600 + 0.75(0.5Y -50) -0.25Y
Y = 600 + 0.375Y -37.5 -0.25Y
Y-0.125Y = 562.5
0.875Y = 562.5
Y*=642.85
When exports decrease by 100 billion the real output decreases through the multiplier effect.
Change in output = multiplier * change in exports
"= (\\frac{1}{ 1-mpc}) \\times100 \\\\\n\n = (\\frac{1}{1-0.75}) \\times 100\\\\\n\n = (\\frac{1}{0.25}) \\times 100\\\\\n\n = 400"
New real output (Y') = 642.85 - 400
= 242.85
Before the change in exports:
Exports = 200
Imports = 50+0.25Y
= 50 + 0.25(642.85)
= 50 + 160.7
= 210.7
Net exports = exports - imports
= 200 - 210.7
= -10.7
After the change in exports:
Exports = 100
Imports = 50 + 0.25(242.85)
= 110.7
Net exports = 100 - 110.7
= -10.7
As there is no change in net exports, there is no change in the current account hence balance of payment does not affect.
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