Answer
"P(sh. 69, 0.25 years) = sh. 4.89"
Workings
A European put option gives the holder of the option the right, but not the obligation, to sell the underlying security at expiry date.
The Black- Scholes model is the best model to use in calculating the price of the put option in question. The model uses risk adjusted probabilities. The price of the European put option is found by the formulae:
"P(S, t) = Ke^{-rt}N(-d_{2})-SN(-d_{1})"
Where,
"d_{1} = \\dfrac {ln(\\dfrac{S}{K}) +(r + \\dfrac{\\delta^2}{2})t} {\\delta \\sqrt {t}}" ,
"d_{2} = d_{1} - \\delta \\sqrt {t}"
Where,
K is the option strike price,
N is the standard normal cumulative distribution function,
r is the risk-free interest rate,
S is the price of the underlying asset,
t is the time to option expiry, and,
"\\delta" is the volatility of the underlying asset.
It is given:
K = sh. 70,
S = sh. 69,
r = "\\dfrac {5\\%} {100\\%} = 0.05,"
"\\delta = \\dfrac {35\\%} {100\\%} = 0.35,"
t = "\\dfrac {3months} {12months} = 0.25 years"
Substitution and Simplification
"d_{1} = \\dfrac {ln(\\dfrac{69}{70}) +(0.05 + \\dfrac{0.35^2}{2})\u00d70.25} {0.35\\sqrt {0.25}}"
"d_{1} = \\dfrac {(-0.014388737) +(0.111250\u00d70.25)} {0.1750}"
"d_{1} = \\dfrac {0.013423763} {0.1750}"
"= 0.076707217"
Therefore,
"-d = -0.076707217" =−0.077 (to 3 decimal places)
"d_{2} = d_{1} - \\delta \\sqrt {t}"
"d_{2} = 0.076707217 - 0.35\u00d7\\sqrt {0.25}"
= 0.076707217 - 0.1750
= -0.098292783
Therefore,
"-d_{2} = 0.098292783"
"-d_{2} = 0.098 \\space (to \\space 3 \\space decimal \\space places)"
So,
"P(S, t) = Ke^{-rt}N(-d_{2})-SN(-d_{1})"
"P(sh. 69, 0.25years)"
"= 70e^{-(0.05\u00d70.25)}N(0.098)-69N(-0.077)"
"N(0.098) = \\phi(0.098)"
= 0.5391
"N(-0.077) = \\phi(-0.077)"
"= 1 - \\phi(0.077)"
= 1 - 0.5307
= 0.4693
"P(sh. 69, 0.25years) = 70e^{-0.0125}\u00d70.5391-69(0.4693)"
= sh. 37.268223457 - sh. 32.38170
= sh. 4.886523457
"= sh. 4.89"
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