Question #144791

Suppose the federal fund rate is currently 2% and the term
premium between the federal funds rate and the 1-year rate is equal to 1 percent.
Also, suppose that it is expected that the FOMC will increase the federal funds rate
3 months from now by 50 basic points. Everything else held constant, what is the
value of the 1-year interest rate today?
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Expert's answer

2.01×32=3.015\frac{2.01\times3}{2}=3.015


2+2×0.005=2.012+2\times0.005=2.01

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